Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000159 0.000176 0.000194 0.000215 0.000238 0.000264 0.000294
2025-06-08 0.000123 0.000147 0.000174 0.000208 0.000250 0.000300 0.000364
2025-06-15 0.000106 0.000133 0.000166 0.000211 0.000269 0.000343 0.000447
2025-06-22 0.000095 0.000124 0.000162 0.000215 0.000289 0.000389 0.000537
2025-06-29 0.000083 0.000113 0.000152 0.000211 0.000295 0.000415 0.000603
2025-07-06 0.000073 0.000101 0.000141 0.000201 0.000293 0.000428 0.000650
2025-07-13 0.000067 0.000096 0.000137 0.000202 0.000304 0.000462 0.000733
2025-07-20 0.000063 0.000092 0.000135 0.000205 0.000319 0.000503 0.000832
2025-07-27 0.000058 0.000087 0.000131 0.000204 0.000326 0.000531 0.000913
2025-08-03 0.000055 0.000084 0.000129 0.000207 0.000341 0.000573 0.001024
2025-08-10 0.000051 0.000079 0.000124 0.000204 0.000345 0.000597 0.001106
2025-08-17 0.000048 0.000076 0.000121 0.000203 0.000352 0.000627 0.001202
2025-08-24 0.000044 0.000072 0.000117 0.000200 0.000358 0.000656 0.001306
2025-08-31 0.000040 0.000066 0.000110 0.000193 0.000354 0.000668 0.001377
2025-09-07 0.000038 0.000064 0.000109 0.000196 0.000368 0.000718 0.001538
2025-09-14 0.000037 0.000063 0.000109 0.000200 0.000387 0.000778 0.001735
2025-09-21 0.000034 0.000059 0.000104 0.000196 0.000388 0.000801 0.001848
2025-09-28 0.000031 0.000055 0.000098 0.000187 0.000378 0.000800 0.001903
2025-10-05 0.000030 0.000053 0.000097 0.000188 0.000389 0.000846 0.002086
2025-10-12 0.000029 0.000052 0.000096 0.000191 0.000405 0.000906 0.002317
2025-10-19 0.000027 0.000050 0.000094 0.000189 0.000410 0.000941 0.002489
2025-10-26 0.000026 0.000049 0.000093 0.000192 0.000426 0.001004 0.002754
2025-11-02 0.000025 0.000047 0.000091 0.000190 0.000428 0.001035 0.002929